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GdS: 'A huge red flag' - how the data betrayed Amorim's Milan against Juventus

SempreMilan · Ben Dixon · 2026-09-09T12:37:15+00:00 · nguồn gốc

In AC Milan’s draw against Juventus, there were a few worries that were identified. However, the biggest comes in the goals department. Milan created more than 4 xG in their first two games of the season, scoring four goals. Against Juventus, though, the performance was noticeably different. Though, surely this was expected against a much different opponent, with more on the line. Read SempreMilan ad-free and get access to exclusive news. Click here for a free trial! Nevertheless, it’s been seen as a betrayal by some… Data betrays Amorim Gazzetta dello Sport states its case from the off with the headline, ‘the data that alarms Amorim’. Immediately after that, the report focuses on the xG from the draw against Juventus; just 0.11, lower than in every game last season. For some, it’s a betrayal of the manifesto which Amorim swears by. He promised ‘dominant, attacking football’, but the showing in Turin was anything but. He acknowledged that it wasn’t his game plan, but the worry is the weighty statistic of the expected goals. The Bianconeri had 1.59 by the end of the game, a trouncing on the numbers. Gazzetta suggest that the Rossoneri should never fall below 1 xG, given the demands of their coach. So, this substantial drop was questionable and a ‘major red flag’. Yet, against Torino and Venezia, the figures were much higher at 2.15 and 2.21. It’s conditional; sometimes you just need to get results and most would’ve taken the point against Juventus. It may not have been ‘Amorim-ball’, but it may be a significant point in the long run against an established outfit and with the issues that remain on Amorim’s mind – such as the inability to use Christian Pulisic, who would surely have an impact on the attacking output.